Learning Dispute Structure for Settlement Prediction in Financial ADR: A Multi-Task and Cross-Institutional Approach
This study addresses the lack of a unified data and modeling framework in financial alternative dispute resolution (ADR), which hinders accurate prediction of settlement outcomes. To overcome this limitation, the authors integrate data from multiple Japanese ADR institutions and propose a functional-label-based annotation scheme to characterize dispute structures. Building upon this representation, they develop a multi-task learning model that jointly performs dispute classification and settlement prediction. The work introduces, for the first time, a cross-institutional shared representation of dispute structure and demonstrates its partial generalizability across diverse ADR domains. Experimental results show that incorporating structural information significantly enhances settlement prediction performance, and when combined with large language models, the approach achieves or surpasses state-of-the-art results across multiple domains.