Within-fire estimates of biomass loss across national forests of the US West Coast: inventory-informed inference with uncertainty
This study addresses the lack of direct biomass change quantification and uncertainty characterization in wildfire impact assessments. By integrating U.S. Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data with 30-meter resolution remote sensing imagery of tree canopy cover, we developed a Bayesian spatiotemporal model to estimate post-fire aboveground biomass loss across national forests on the U.S. West Coast. Incorporating inventory-based priors strengthened inference, enabling pixel-level spatial heterogeneity capture and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Results indicate cumulative biomass losses of 95.3 million metric tons and 2.39 million hectares of forest mortality within the study area, revealing pronounced spatial differentiation. These findings establish a novel paradigm for fine-grained fire ecology assessments.