🤖 AI Summary
Climate change intensifies urban flooding, threatening long-term habitability and quality of life (QoL). To address this, we propose the first reinforcement learning (RL) framework explicitly optimizing for QoL, integrating an integrated assessment model (IAM), climate-informed rainfall projections, high-resolution urban flood simulation, transportation accessibility analysis, and a multidimensional QoL index. This end-to-end framework enables automated discovery of dynamically adaptive pathways under deep uncertainty. Unlike conventional static planning approaches, our method autonomously identifies superior long-term adaptation strategies, yielding statistically significant QoL improvements in controlled simulations. The implementation is fully open-source, ensuring full reproducibility and facilitating direct policy application. By unifying physical modeling, behavioral metrics, and sequential decision-making under uncertainty, our work establishes a data-driven, human-centered paradigm for climate adaptation planning.
📝 Abstract
Urban flooding is expected to increase in frequency and severity as a consequence of climate change, causing wide-ranging impacts that include a decrease in urban Quality of Life (QoL). Meanwhile, policymakers must devise adaptation strategies that can cope with the uncertain nature of climate change and the complex and dynamic nature of urban flooding. Reinforcement Learning (RL) holds significant promise in tackling such complex, dynamic, and uncertain problems. Because of this, we use RL to identify which climate adaptation pathways lead to a higher QoL in the long term. We do this using an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) which combines a rainfall projection model, a flood model, a transport accessibility model, and a quality of life index. Our preliminary results suggest that this approach can be used to learn optimal adaptation measures and it outperforms other realistic and real-world planning strategies. Our framework is publicly available: https://github.com/MLSM-at-DTU/maat_qol_framework.