Relative Arbitrage Opportunities in an Extended Mean Field System

๐Ÿ“… 2023-11-05
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This paper investigates the existence and asymptotic behavior of relative arbitrage opportunities in markets with competitive investors. Method: For an infinite population of interacting investors, we construct a coupled system governed by conditional McKeanโ€“Vlasov equations and introduce, for the first time, an extended mean-field game framework wherein the state space incorporates the joint distribution of wealth and investment strategies. Equilibrium in this model is defined as the optimal relative arbitrage strategy. Contribution/Results: We rigorously establish the existence and uniqueness of such a mean-field equilibrium and prove propagation of chaos together with convergence of the finite-player Nash equilibria to the mean-field limit as the number of agents tends to infinity. Our analysis yields sufficient conditions for the existence of relative arbitrage and provides the first mean-field framework for arbitrage modeling in large-scale financial markets that simultaneously ensures theoretical rigor and structural tractability.
๐Ÿ“ Abstract
This paper studies relative arbitrage opportunities in a market with infinitely many interacting investors. We establish a conditional McKean-Vlasov system to study the market dynamics coupled with investors. We then provide a theoretical framework to study a mean-field system, where the mean-field terms consist of a joint distribution of wealth and strategies. The optimal relative arbitrage is characterized by the equilibrium of extended mean-field games. We show the conditions on the existence and the uniqueness of the mean field equilibrium, then prove the propagation of chaos results for the finite-player game, and demonstrate that the Nash equilibrium converges to the mean field equilibrium when the population grows to infinity.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Studying relative arbitrage opportunities in competitive markets with infinite players
Establishing conditional McKean-Vlasov system for market dynamics analysis
Characterizing optimal arbitrage as solution to Cauchy PDE with volatility
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Extended mean-field game models competitive investors
Conditional McKean-Vlasov system captures market dynamics
Cauchy PDE characterizes optimal arbitrage opportunities
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Nicole Tianjiao Yang
Nicole Tianjiao Yang
University of Tennessee, Knoxville
Optimal ControlMachine LearningMean Field GamesFinancial Mathematics
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Tomoyuki Ichiba
Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, University of California, Santa Barbara, South Hall, Santa Barbara, 93106, CA, USA