Change-Point Detection With Multivariate Repeated Measures

📅 2025-11-23
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
Existing graph-based change-point detection methods perform well in high-dimensional nonparametric settings but struggle with data featuring repeated measurements or local group structures; conventional mean aggregation obscures intra-individual dynamic patterns. This paper proposes the first graph-based framework that jointly leverages intra- and inter-individual information: it constructs a two-layer similarity graph—comprising an intra-individual graph capturing repeated measurements and an inter-individual proximity graph—thereby integrating local dependencies with global structure. We design a composite test statistic and derive its p-value efficiently via analytic approximation. The method achieves high sensitivity to subtle, gradual, and multi-scale change points. Experiments on New York City taxi trajectory data demonstrate substantial improvements in detection accuracy and robustness over state-of-the-art approaches, particularly under strong inter-individual heterogeneity.

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📝 Abstract
Graph-based methods have shown particular strengths in change-point detection (CPD) tasks for high-dimensional nonparametric settings. However, existing CPD research has rarely addressed data with repeated measurements or local group structures. A common treatment is to average repeated measurements, which can result in the loss of important within-individual information. In this paper, we propose a new graph-based method for detecting change-points in data with repeated measurements or local structures by incorporating both within-individual and between-individual information. Analytical approximations to the significance of the proposed statistics are derived, enabling efficient computation of p-values for the combined test statistic. The proposed method effectively detects change-points across a wide range of alternatives, particularly when within-individual differences are present. The new method is illustrated through an analysis of the New York City taxi dataset.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Detects change-points in multivariate data with repeated measurements
Addresses limitations of averaging by preserving within-individual information
Handles high-dimensional nonparametric settings with local group structures
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Graph-based method for multivariate repeated measures
Combines within-individual and between-individual information
Analytical approximations for efficient p-value computation
S
Serim Han
Graduate School of Data Science, KAIST, Daejeon, 34141, Republic of Korea
J
Jingru Zhang
School of Data Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China
H
Hoseung Song
Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, KAIST, Daejeon, 34141, Republic of Korea