An $\Omega(\log(N)/N)$ Lookahead is Sufficient to Bound Costs in the Overloaded Loss Network

📅 2026-01-20
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the online admission control problem for two customer classes in a loss queue with reusable resources. By decomposing total cost into variability cost and uncertainty cost, and leveraging stochastic queueing models, deterministic relaxation upper bounds, and the full-information offline optimum, the authors conduct an asymptotic analysis in large-scale systems ($N \to \infty$). They establish that the $\Theta(\log N)$ growth of total cost arises entirely from uncertainty cost, while variability cost remains $O(1)$. Furthermore, they demonstrate that a lookahead window of merely $\Omega(\log N / N)$ suffices to substantially reduce operational costs. These findings reveal that in overloaded loss networks, even a vanishingly small—yet scale-dependent—degree of foresight can eliminate most of the excess cost, offering theoretical justification for highly efficient online resource allocation strategies.

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📝 Abstract
I study the simplest model of revenue management with reusable resources: admission control of two customer classes into a loss queue. This model's long-run average collected reward has two natural upper bounds: the deterministic relaxation and the full-information offline problem. With these bounds, we can decompose the costs faced by the online decision maker into (i) the \emph{cost of variability}, given by the difference between the deterministic value and the offline value, and (ii) the \emph{cost of uncertainty}, given by the difference between the offline value and the online value. \cite{Xie2025} established that the sum of these two costs is $\Theta(\log N)$, as the number of servers, $N$, goes to infinity. I show that we can entirely attribute this $\Theta(\log N)$ rate to the cost of uncertainty, as the cost of variability remains $O(1)$ as $N \rightarrow \infty$. In other words, I show that anticipating future fluctuations is sufficient to bound operating costs -- smoothing out these fluctuations is unnecessary. In fact, I show that an $\Omega(\log(N)/N)$ lookahead window is sufficient to bound operating costs.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

revenue management
loss network
cost of uncertainty
cost of variability
online decision making
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

lookahead
cost of uncertainty
loss network
reusable resources
online admission control
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