Limitations of Randomization Tests in Finite Samples

📅 2025-12-07
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🤖 AI Summary
This paper investigates the fundamental reason why randomization tests fail to achieve exact Type I error control for common null hypotheses—such as zero-mean—in finite samples. Method: Drawing on group action theory, the authors develop a unified analytical framework and derive necessary and sufficient conditions for a null hypothesis to admit exact finite-sample randomization tests. Contribution/Results: They prove that exact finite-sample randomization testing is possible if and only if the null hypothesis is distributionally invariant under some nontrivial linear group action. Consequently, asymmetric hypotheses—including the zero-mean null—are rigorously shown to be inherently infeasible for exact randomization testing. This result clarifies the intrinsic limitations of randomization inference and underscores the necessity of relying on asymptotic methods where exact finite-sample control is unattainable. The work thus establishes precise theoretical boundaries for valid application of randomization-based inference.

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📝 Abstract
Randomization tests yield exact finite-sample Type 1 error control when the null satisfies the randomization hypothesis. However, achieving these guarantees in practice often requires stronger conditions than the null hypothesis of primary interest. For instance, sign-change tests for mean zero require symmetry and fail to control finite-sample error for non-symmetric mean-zero distributions. We investigate whether such limitations stem from specific test choices or reflect a fundamental inability to construct valid randomization tests for certain hypotheses. We develop a framework providing a simple necessary and sufficient condition for when null hypotheses admit randomization tests. Applying this framework to one-sample tests, we provide characterizations of which nulls satisfy this condition for both finite and continuous supports. In doing so, we prove that certain null hypotheses -- including mean zero -- do not admit randomization tests. We further show that nulls that admit randomization tests based on linear group actions correspond only to subsets of symmetric or normal distributions. Overall, our findings affirm that practitioners are not inadvertently incurring additional Type 1 error when using existing tests and further motivate focusing on the asymptotic validity of randomization tests.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Identifies when null hypotheses allow valid randomization tests
Proves certain nulls like mean zero lack valid randomization tests
Shows linear group tests only apply to symmetric or normal distributions
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Framework provides condition for randomization test feasibility
Characterizes null hypotheses for finite and continuous supports
Proves mean zero hypothesis lacks randomization test validity