Predictive Triggering for Outage-Resilient Threshold Decisions over Short-Packet Links

📅 2026-08-04
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This work addresses the challenge of jointly achieving high reliability and energy efficiency in remote threshold-based decision-making over short-packet wireless links, where outage risk complicates the trade-off between timely decisions and power consumption. The authors propose a novel framework that integrates a predictive triggering mechanism with an age-of-information (AoI)-aware elastic update policy. By innovatively coupling prediction-based triggering with AoI control and modeling channel dynamics via a two-state Markov chain, the approach enables joint optimization of decision reliability and energy usage. Through a Bayesian posterior decision rule and co-design of transmit power and update probability, the method significantly advances decision timing at comparable energy costs while maintaining low false-alarm and miss-detection rates, outperforming existing baseline schemes.
📝 Abstract
Remote threshold decisions require more than accurate state estimates: the posterior must support reliable alarm/no-alarm decisions and, when possible, anticipate early critical decisions. We study this problem over short-packet wireless links with outage risk. We derive false-positive/false-negative feasibility conditions that define a decision-feasible region of the estimation and yield a predictive decision-update trigger. To protect predictive updates from outages, we add AoI-controlled resilience updates that both detect disruptions and maintain freshness. A two-state Markov surrogate of the thresholded process, matched to its one-step switching statistics, enables tractable long-term reliability-energy analysis. Then, we jointly optimized transmit power and AoI-controlled resilience update probabilities. Simulations show earlier, reliable decisions at competitive energy with baselines.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

predictive triggering
outage resilience
threshold decisions
short-packet communications
age of information
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Predictive Triggering
Short-Packet Communication
Age of Information (AoI)
Outage Resilience
Threshold Decision
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