Uncertainty quantification and parameter optimization of plasma etching process using heteroscedastic Gaussian process

📅 2025-11-07
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
In plasma etching of semiconductors, significant spatial variation in etch depth and process reliability degradation—driven jointly by aleatory and epistemic uncertainties—pose critical challenges. To address this, we propose an integrated uncertainty quantification and optimization framework combining heteroscedastic Gaussian process (hetGP) surrogate modeling with reliability-based design optimization (RBDO). Our approach innovatively decouples spatial variability, parametric perturbations, and model-form epistemic uncertainty, enabling explicit decomposition and synergistic modeling of multi-source uncertainties. Leveraging limited experimental data, the method accurately identifies optimal process parameter sets, reducing the spatial standard deviation of etch depth by over 35% on average while ensuring process robustness at ≥95% confidence. The framework demonstrates strong transferability and is readily extensible to other micro/nano-manufacturing processes, such as photolithography.

Technology Category

Machine Learning: Calibration & Uncertainty QuantificationReasoning under Uncertainty: Stochastic OptimizationPlanning, Routing, and Scheduling: Planning under Uncertainty

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📝 Abstract
This study presents a comprehensive framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design optimization of plasma etching in semiconductor manufacturing. The framework is demonstrated using experimental measurements of etched depth collected at nine wafer locations under various plasma conditions. A heteroscedastic Gaussian process (hetGP) surrogate model is employed to capture the complex uncertainty structure in the data, enabling distinct quantification of (a) spatial variability across the wafer and (b) process-related uncertainty arising from variations in chamber pressure, gas flow rate, and RF power. Epistemic uncertainty due to sparse data is further quantified and incorporated into a reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) scheme. The proposed method identifies optimal process parameters that minimize spatial variability of etch depth while maintaining reliability under both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. The results demonstrate that this framework effectively integrates data-driven surrogate modeling with robust optimization, enhancing predictive accuracy and process reliability. Moreover, the proposed approach is generalizable to other semiconductor processes, such as photolithography, where performance is highly sensitive to multifaceted uncertainties.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Quantifying spatial variability and process uncertainty in plasma etching
Optimizing process parameters to minimize etch depth variability
Enhancing reliability under aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Heteroscedastic Gaussian process models complex uncertainty structure
Reliability-based design optimization handles aleatory and epistemic uncertainties
Framework integrates surrogate modeling with robust parameter optimization
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Y
Yongsu Jung
Department of Mechanical and Design Engineering, Hongik University, Sejong, Rep.of Korea
M
Minji Kang
Semiconductor Manufacturing Research Center, Korea Institute of Machinery and Materials,Daejeon, Rep. of Korea
M
Muyoung Kim
Semiconductor Manufacturing Research Center, Korea Institute of Machinery and Materials,Daejeon, Rep. of Korea
M
Min Sup Choi
Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, Republic of Korea
H
Hyeong-U. Kim
Nano-Mechatronics, KIMM Campus, University of Science & Technology (UST), Daejeon, Rep. of Korea
J
Jaekwang Kim
Department of Mechanical and Design Engineering, Hongik University, Sejong, Rep.of Korea