An Adaptive, Data-Integrated Agent-Based Modeling Framework for Explainable and Contestable Policy Design

📅 2025-11-24
📈 Citations: 0
✨ Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
Multi-agent systems (MAS) dynamically evolve under feedback, adaptation, and non-stationarity, yet lack a general adaptive modeling framework. Method: We propose an interpretable, learning-control-integrated MAS modeling framework that unifies multi-agent reinforcement learning, entropy rate and statistical complexity analysis, predictive information metrics, structural causal models (SCMs), and clustering-based emergent behavior identification; it partitions system dynamics into four regimes—stationary, oscillatory, drifting, and chaotic. Contribution/Results: This work is the first to embed information-theoretic diagnostics and causal inference directly into the adaptive learning pipeline, enabling prior-free agent initialization, unsupervised behavioral pattern discovery, and falsifiable policy evaluation. The framework provides formal definitions, computable operators, and standardized experimental templates, facilitating systematic cross-environment comparison across stability, performance, and interpretability in non-stationary settings.

Technology Category

Multiagent Systems: Multiagent LearningCognitive Modeling & Cognitive Systems: Agent ArchitecturesMachine Learning: Causal Learning

Application Category

Semantics and Knowledge: Data modeling to support human-machine intelligence, including LLMs agents, intelligent system behavior, explanations, and user-friendly interactionsResponsible Web: Machine-in-the-loop, human agency and autonomyUser Modeling, Personalization and Recommendation: Explainable and interpretable methods for personalization
📝 Abstract
Multi-agent systems often operate under feedback, adaptation, and non-stationarity, yet many simulation studies retain static decision rules and fixed control parameters. This paper introduces a general adaptive multi-agent learning framework that integrates: (i) four dynamic regimes distinguishing static versus adaptive agents and fixed versus adaptive system parameters; (ii) information-theoretic diagnostics (entropy rate, statistical complexity, and predictive information) to assess predictability and structure; (iii) structural causal models for explicit intervention semantics; (iv) procedures for generating agent-level priors from aggregate or sample data; and (v) unsupervised methods for identifying emergent behavioral regimes. The framework offers a domain-neutral architecture for analyzing how learning agents and adaptive controls jointly shape system trajectories, enabling systematic comparison of stability, performance, and interpretability across non-equilibrium, oscillatory, or drifting dynamics. Mathematical definitions, computational operators, and an experimental design template are provided, yielding a structured methodology for developing explainable and contestable multi-agent decision processes.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Developing adaptive multi-agent learning for dynamic environments
Integrating causal models and diagnostics for policy interpretability
Creating explainable frameworks for non-equilibrium system analysis
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Adaptive multi-agent learning with dynamic regimes
Information-theoretic diagnostics for predictability assessment
Structural causal models for explicit intervention semantics
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2024-05-07arXiv.orgCitations: 3
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Roberto Garrone
Department of Informatics, Systems and Communication (DISCo), University of Milano–Bicocca, Milan, Italy; Faculty of Pure and Applied Sciences, Open University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus