🤖 AI Summary
本文解决了黎曼流形上切向量场回归问题，通过核估计器和平行传输方法进行非参数估计，并提出了可行的同时置信管以进行同时推理。
📝 Abstract
We consider nonparametric tangent vector field regression on a Riemannian manifold without boundary. Because responses at different points lie in different tangent spaces, the proposed kernel estimator first parallel transports nearby responses to the target tangent space and then forms a volume-corrected local average. We first derive its uniform second-order bias, finite-bandwidth covariance, and stochastic rate. For simultaneous inference, the tangent norm is written as a supremum over the unit tangent bundle. Exact covariance whitening gives a unit-variance Gaussian field whose correlation length is of order $h$ along the base manifold and of order one along the fibre. Its local covariance geometry leads to a Gumbel limit with an explicit intrinsic constant. Combining this limit with Gaussian approximation and cross-fitted covariance estimation yields a feasible simultaneous confidence tube for the regression field. We further discuss improved finite-sample inference with bandwidth selection and high-order bias corrections. Simulations on various manifolds support the proposed inference procedure. A randomized reconstruction of global wind data illustrates how the tube's cross-sections describe spatially varying uncertainty.