Endogenous supply-chain transformation via dynamically calibrated nonneutroelastic processing networks

๐Ÿ“… 2026-09-14
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็ ”็ฉถ้€š่ฟ‡ๆๅ‡บไธ€็งๆ–ฐ็š„็ฎ—ๆณ•่งฃๅ†ณไบ†ไพ›ๅบ”้“พๅ†…็”Ÿๆ€ง่ฝฌๅ˜็š„ๅŠจๆ€ๆ กๅ‡†้—ฎ้ข˜๏ผŒ่ฏฅ็ฎ—ๆณ•ๅˆฉ็”จ็ฝ‘็ปœ็š„็‰ฉ็†ๅฑ‚็บง็ป“ๆž„่ฟ›่กŒไผ˜ๅŒ–ใ€‚
๐Ÿ“ Abstract
Understanding how supply chains endogenously transform requires a parametric model of processing networks with non-neutral substitution elasticities. While the Cascaded CES (CCES) production function provides a rigorous framework for these multi-layered linkages, dynamically calibrating its structural parameters from time-series data constitutes a highly non-convex inverse optimization problem. Enforcing the strict microeconomic concavity constraint causes standard monolithic approach to fail due to extreme ill-conditioning and the curse of dimensionality. To overcome this computational bottleneck, we propose a novel structure-exploiting algorithm. By leveraging the physical upstreamness topology of the network, our hybrid heuristic alternates between a vertical cascade-sequential descent and a horizontal block coordinate descent. Our framework successfully calibrates the fundamental elasticities of a 10-sector marcoeconomic model of the United States, providing a tractable computational engine to fully endogenize and predict complex supply-chain transformations.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

endogenous transformation
supply chain
non-neutral substitution elasticities
inverse optimization problem
microeconomic concavity constraint
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

dynamically calibrated
non-convex inverse optimization
vertical cascade-sequential descent
horizontal block coordinate descent
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Satoshi Nakano
Faculty of Economics, Nihon Fukushi University, 477-0031 Japan
K
Kazuhiko Nishimura
Institute of Economics, Chukyo University, 466-8666 Japan