GC-GAT: Multimodal Vehicular Trajectory Prediction using Graph Goal Conditioning and Cross-context Attention

📅 2025-04-15
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🤖 AI Summary
This paper addresses the problem of predicting trajectories of surrounding vehicles in autonomous driving. We propose a multimodal prediction method that jointly models static road infrastructure and dynamic traffic participants. Our approach introduces three key contributions: (1) a lane-graph-guided target-conditioned modeling mechanism that jointly encodes the target vehicle’s state and road topology; (2) a cross-context attention module that adaptively fuses heterogeneous inputs—including lane graphs, neighboring vehicle states, and historical trajectories; and (3) a hybrid architecture combining graph convolutional networks (GCNs) for lane-structure encoding, gated recurrent units (GRUs) for temporal dynamics modeling, and a Laplacian mixture density network (L-MDN) for multimodal probabilistic output. Evaluated on the nuScenes motion prediction benchmark, our method achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming prior work in both average displacement error (ADE) and final displacement error (FDE). Notably, it demonstrates superior robustness and physical plausibility in complex scenarios such as intersections and lane changes.

Technology Category

Machine Learning: Multimodal LearningComputer Vision: Multi-modal VisionPlanning, Routing, and Scheduling: Planning with Language Models

Application Category

Graph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Foundation models and LLMs for Web-related graphsSemantics and Knowledge: Methods to enhance, augment, integrate or synergize semantic models such as knowledge graphs and LLMsSearch and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) and multi-modal RAG
📝 Abstract
Predicting future trajectories of surrounding vehicles heavily relies on what contextual information is given to a motion prediction model. The context itself can be static (lanes, regulatory elements, etc) or dynamic (traffic participants). This paper presents a lane graph-based motion prediction model that first predicts graph-based goal proposals and later fuses them with cross attention over multiple contextual elements. We follow the famous encoder-interactor-decoder architecture where the encoder encodes scene context using lightweight Gated Recurrent Units, the interactor applies cross-context attention over encoded scene features and graph goal proposals, and the decoder regresses multimodal trajectories via Laplacian Mixture Density Network from the aggregated encodings. Using cross-attention over graph-based goal proposals gives robust trajectory estimates since the model learns to attend to future goal-relevant scene elements for the intended agent. We evaluate our work on nuScenes motion prediction dataset, achieving state-of-the-art results.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Predicting vehicle trajectories using contextual information
Fusing graph goals with cross-context attention
Improving accuracy via goal-relevant scene elements
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Graph-based goal proposals prediction
Cross-context attention fusion
Laplacian Mixture Density Network
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