Convex Chance-Constrained Stochastic Control under Uncertain Specifications with Application to Learning-Based Hybrid Powertrain Control

📅 2026-01-26
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This work addresses the challenge of stochastic control under non-Gaussian uncertainties in reference trajectories and operational constraints, where conventional approaches struggle to simultaneously satisfy probabilistic constraints and preserve favorable optimization properties. The authors propose a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that jointly optimizes control inputs and risk allocation. Notably, this is the first method to guarantee strict convexity of the chance-constrained problem under general non-Gaussian uncertainty, thereby ensuring solution uniqueness and continuity. By integrating machine learning to identify nonlinear dynamics amenable to exact linearization, the framework yields an end-to-end deployable model predictive control scheme. Experimental validation on a hybrid powertrain demonstrates that the approach maintains computational efficiency and solution stability while achieving high satisfaction rates of probabilistic constraints.

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📝 Abstract
This paper presents a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that accounts for uncertainty in control specifications such as reference trajectories and operational constraints. By jointly optimizing control inputs and risk allocation under general (possibly non-Gaussian) uncertainties, the proposed method guarantees probabilistic constraint satisfaction while ensuring strict convexity, leading to uniqueness and continuity of the optimal solution. The formulation is further extended to nonlinear model-based control using exactly linearizable models identified through machine learning. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through model predictive control applied to a hybrid powertrain system.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

chance-constrained
stochastic control
uncertain specifications
convex optimization
hybrid powertrain
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

convex chance-constrained control
stochastic control
risk allocation
machine learning-based modeling
hybrid powertrain control
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Kenji Kashima
Kenji Kashima
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