Some bivariate distributions on a discrete torus with application to wind direction datasets

📅 2026-02-13
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Technology Category

Reasoning under Uncertainty: Graphical ModelsKnowledge Representation and Reasoning: Geometric, Spatial, and Temporal ReasoningMachine Learning: Probabilistic Circuits and Graphical Models

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Graph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Efficient manipulation of static and dynamic Web-related graphsWeb Mining and Content Analysis: Models for Web evolutionSemantics and Knowledge: Methods, algorithms and applications for the development of semantic models, knowledge graphs and other forms of structured data models with machine-interpretable semantics
📝 Abstract
Many datasets are observed on a finite set of equally spaced directions instead of the exact angles, such as the wind direction data. However, in the statistical literature, bivariate models are only available for continuous circular random variables. This article presents two bivariate circular distributions, namely bivariate wrapped geometric (BWG) and bivariate generalized wrapped geometric (BGWG), for analyzing bivariate discrete circular data. We consider wrapped geometric distributions and a trigonometric function to construct the models. The models are analytically tractable due to the exact closed-form expressions for the trigonometric moments. We thoroughly discuss the distributional properties of the models, including the interpretation of parameters and dependence structure. The estimation methodology based on maximizing the likelihood functions is illustrated for simulated datasets. Finally, the proposed distributions are utilized to analyze pairwise wind direction measurements obtained at different stations in India, and the interpretations for the fitted models are briefly discussed.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

bivariate circular data
discrete torus
wind direction
wrapped geometric distribution
circular statistics
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

bivariate wrapped geometric
discrete circular data
trigonometric moments
wind direction analysis
wrapped distributions
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Brajesh Kumar Dhakad
Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology Madras, IIT P.O., Sardar Patel Road, Chennai, 600036, Tamil Nadu, India.
J
Jayant Jha
Statistical Sciences Division, Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, 203 B. T. Road, Kolkata, 700108, West Bengal, India.
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Debepsita Mukherjee
Department of Statistics and Data Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, 105 East 24th St. Stop D9800, Austin, 78712, Texas, USA.