Physics-residual machine learning predicts oxygen-evolution catalyst activity beyond the training range from sparse polarization measurements

๐Ÿ“… 2026-09-20
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๐Ÿ“ Abstract
Screening oxygen-evolution catalysts on combinatorial libraries requires deciding which candidates receive the remaining measurements. The deciding activity lies beyond each candidate's measured potential window and often above every activity recorded during fitting. We predict it by physics-residual machine learning: the Tafel equation extrapolates the candidate's own measured current and slope, a learned residual attenuated with feature-space distance corrects the magnitude, and an applicability-domain score identifies predictions above the training range before measurement. In a separately fabricated 322-candidate library, 282 above the training maximum, two measurements per candidate gave a mean absolute error of 0.203 mA cm$^{-2}$ against 1.330 for the selected data-driven machine-learning model. Errors inside the training range remained comparable, and 35 labelled catalysts were enough to fit it. In two independent datasets the same construction lowered the overpotential error by 29 to 52%. Campaigns can therefore shorten each measurement and still rank the most active compositions.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

oxygen-evolution catalysts
combinatorial libraries
measured potential window
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

physics-residual machine learning
oxygen-evolution catalysts
Tafel equation
applicability-domain score
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Yong-Woon Kim
Department of Computer Engineering, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, South Korea; Green Hydrogen Global Leading Research Center, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, South Korea
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Jihyeok Lee
Faculty of Applied Energy System, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, South Korea
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Sungtae Park
Nuclear-Hydrogen Convergence Center, Research and Development Section, Korea Hydro and Nuclear Power Co. Ltd., Daejeon 34101, South Korea
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Sooseok Choi
Faculty of Applied Energy System, Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, South Korea
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Yung-Cheol Byun
Department of Computer Engineering, Major of Electronic Engineering, Food Tech Center (FTC), Jeju National University, Jeju 63243, South Korea