MGRD: Compact morphology-gated residual diffusion for variance-aware cross-domain neurite forecasting

📅 2026-09-20
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🤖 AI Summary
本文提出MGRD模型,通过紧凑的形态门控残差扩散方法,从十个观察帧预测未来二十个神经突形态帧,解决了长期延时成像资源密集问题。
📝 Abstract
Tracking neurite morphology over time helps characterize structural changes during neuronal development and deterioration, but long-term time-lapse imaging is resource-intensive and difficult to scale. Forecasting future morphology could reduce this burden. Existing neurite digital-twin models such as gated spatiotemporal attention (gSTA) produce a single deterministic forecast without representing variability among plausible futures. We introduce Morphology-Gated Residual Diffusion (MGRD), a compact stochastic surrogate that jointly forecasts twenty future neurite-morphology frames from ten observed frames while conditioning on morphology features derived from the latest observation. On controlled phase-field trajectories, MGRD reduces trajectory-wise mean MAE by 9.7% relative to a matched control while updating 4.46 times fewer parameters. On human iPSC-derived neuron microscopy, MGRD improves all four reported metrics over gSTA, including a 39.6% reduction in trajectory-wise mean MAE and a 45.3% increase in skeleton F1. Without mouse-domain retraining or fine-tuning, MGRD also improves MAE and skeleton F1 on mouse cortical-neurosphere microscopy across 10-40-min sampling intervals and forecast horizons beyond 13 hours. Repeated sampling provides a case-level variance score for ranking forecast difficulty. Retaining approximately 60% of the lowest-variance cases reduces mean MAE by 17.6% on iPSC microscopy and 16.8% on simulation data. MGRD uses 1.01% of gSTA's parameters, requires less than one tenth of its training-update time, and generates a 50-step DDIM trajectory 7.9% faster when morphology features are cached. These results establish MGRD as a compact stochastic surrogate for neurite-morphology forecasting and case prioritization across simulation and microscopy datasets.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

neurite morphology
forecasting
variability
resource-intensive imaging
digital-twin models
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Morphology-Gated Residual Diffusion
stochastic surrogate
neurite-morphology forecasting
variance-aware
compact model
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