Equilibria in Large Position-Optimization Games

📅 2026-02-16
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This study investigates the existence, structure, and convergence behavior of Nash equilibria in large-scale symmetric location optimization games, encompassing classical settings such as Hotelling games and prediction contests. By formulating a general model in which players select locations in a metric space to maximize the probability mass of covered targets, and leveraging symmetry assumptions together with asymptotic analysis, the work demonstrates that as the number of players tends to infinity, both pure-strategy and symmetric mixed-strategy Nash equilibria concentrate on a finite set of pseudo-targets and converge to a limiting distribution induced by the underlying target distribution. The analysis unifies and extends several classical results, provides explicit bounds on convergence rates, and establishes the existence and extremal properties of equilibria in the large-population regime.

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📝 Abstract
We propose a general class of symmetric games called position-optimization games. Given a probability distribution $Q$ over a set of targets $\mathcal{Y}$, the $n$ players each choose a position in a space $\mathcal{X}$. A player's utility is the $Q$-mass of targets they are closest to under some proximity measure, with ties broken evenly. Our model captures Hotelling games and forecasting competitions, among other applications. We show that for sufficiently large $n$, both pure and symmetric mixed Nash equilibria exist, and moreover are extreme: all players play on a finite set of pseudo-targets $\mathcal{X}^* \subseteq \mathcal{X}$. We further show that both pure and symmetric mixed equilibria converge to the distribution $P$ on $\mathcal{X}^*$ induced by $Q$, and bound the convergence rate in $n$. The generality of our model allows us to extend and strengthen previous work in Hotelling games, and prove entirely new results in forecasting competitions and other applications.
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position-optimization games
Nash equilibrium
large games
Hotelling games
forecasting competitions
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position-optimization games
Nash equilibrium
convergence rate
pseudo-targets
symmetric games
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