Change-point detection in variance-covariance matrix

📅 2026-05-12
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the joint estimation of change points and sparse structures in piecewise constant covariance matrices. The authors propose a regularized approach that combines a squared Frobenius norm loss with Group Fused LASSO for change-point localization and LASSO for inducing sparsity, enhanced by adaptive weights to improve estimation accuracy. Theoretical analysis establishes joint consistency for both change-point locations and the associated segment-wise covariance matrices. An efficient optimization algorithm based on the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) is developed to solve the resulting problem. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms existing benchmarks in terms of both estimation accuracy and computational efficiency.
📝 Abstract
We consider the joint estimation of change point locations and the sparsity pattern of the variance covariance matrix, which is assumed to evolve in a piecewise constant manner. By applying Group Fused LASSO and LASSO penalties to the squared Frobenius norm, we estimate both the covariance structure and the change points. Adaptive weights are incorporated into the penalty terms to enhance change point detection and covariance estimation accuracy. We establish the conditions under which the estimated change points and the sparse estimators within each segment are consistent. To solve the resulting optimization problem efficiently, we develop an alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) whose updates reduce to computationally tractable subproblems. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated through synthetic and real data experiments, including comparisons with several competing procedures.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

change-point detection
variance-covariance matrix
sparsity
piecewise constant
joint estimation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Change-point detection
Covariance matrix estimation
Group Fused LASSO
ADMM
Sparsity
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