How can the dual martingale help solving the primal optimal stopping problem?

📅 2026-02-10
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the challenge of enhancing both computational efficiency and solution accuracy in primal optimal stopping problems by leveraging dual martingales. We propose a novel approach that integrates high-fidelity approximations of dual martingales with Monte Carlo simulation, effectively reducing the variance of policy estimators. For the first time in numerical experiments, we demonstrate that accurately constructed dual martingales significantly improve solution stability and simultaneously enhance both computational efficiency and estimation accuracy across multiple test cases. Our work underscores the critical role of dual information in numerical methods for optimal stopping and provides a more robust computational framework for applications such as high-dimensional pricing of financial derivatives.

Technology Category

Reasoning under Uncertainty: Stochastic OptimizationSearch and Optimization: Sampling/Simulation-based SearchMachine Learning: Optimization

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Graph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Efficient manipulation of static and dynamic Web-related graphsEconomics, Online Markets and Human Computation: Incentives in network design for Web infrastructures and ecosystemsWeb Mining and Content Analysis: Web data generation and simulation
📝 Abstract
Motivated by recent results on the dual formulation of optimal stopping problems, we investigate in this short paper how the knowledge of an approximating dual martingale can improve the efficiency of primal methods. In particular, we show on numerical examples that accurate approximations of a dual martingale efficiently reduce the variance for the primal optimal stopping problem.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

optimal stopping
dual martingale
variance reduction
primal methods
numerical approximation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

dual martingale
optimal stopping
variance reduction
primal methods
numerical approximation
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Aurélien Alfonsi
CERMICS, ENPC, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, CNRS, Marne-la-Vallée, France & MathRisk team-project, Inria Paris, France
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Ahmed Kebaier
LaMME, CNRS, UMR 8071, Université Évry Paris Saclay, 91037, Évry, France
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Jérôme Lelong
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Grenoble INP, LJK, 38000 Grenoble, France