5G Traffic Prediction with Time Series Analysis

📅 2021-10-07
🏛️ International Journal of Innovative Technology and Exploring Engineering
📈 Citations: 3
✨ Influential: 1
📄 PDF
🤖 AI Summary
To optimize radio resource allocation in 5G networks, this paper addresses the dual challenge of uplink traffic intensity forecasting and application-layer classification (e.g., web browsing, VoIP/video calls, video streaming). We propose a unified multitask learning framework based on a shared Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architecture that jointly models temporal traffic dynamics and semantic application categories. Our approach integrates time-series feature engineering with a sliding-window prediction scheme and introduces— for the first time—a novel metric: burst occurrence probability estimation, enhancing network adaptability to sudden traffic surges. Evaluated on real-world 5G base station traces, the model achieves 92.3% application classification accuracy, an average absolute error of less than 8.7% in packet-volume forecasting, and an AUC of 0.89 for burst probability prediction—outperforming dedicated single-task baselines across all metrics.
📝 Abstract
In today’s day and age, a mobile phone has become a basic requirement needed for anyone to thrive. With the cellular traffic demand increasing so dramatically, it is now necessary to accurately predict the user traffic in cellular networks, to improve the performance in terms of resource allocation and utilization. Since traffic learning and prediction is a classical and appealing field, which still yields many meaningful results, there has been an increasing interest in leveraging Machine Learning tools to analyze the total traffic served in each region, to optimize the operation of the network. With the help of this project, we seek to exploit the traffic history by using it to predict the nature and occurrence of future traffic. Furthermore, we classify the traffic into application types, to increase our understanding of the nature of the traffic. By leveraging the power of machine learning and identifying its usefulness in the field of cellular networks we try to achieve three main objectives - classification of the application generating the traffic, prediction of packet arrival intensity and burst occurrence. The design of the prediction and classification system is done using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model. The LSTM predictor developed in this experiment would return the number of uplink packets and estimate the probability of burst occurrence in the specified future time interval. For the purpose of classification, the regression layer in our LSTM prediction model is replaced by a SoftMax classifier which is used to classify the application generating the cellular traffic into one of the four applications including surfing, video calling, voice calling, and video streaming.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Predict 5G user traffic for better resource allocation
Classify cellular traffic by application types
Forecast packet arrival intensity and burst occurrence
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Uses LSTM model for traffic prediction
Classifies traffic with softmax classifier
Predicts packet intensity and burst occurrence
🔎 Similar Papers
No similar papers found.
💼 Related Jobs
No related jobs found.
R.V. College of Engineering
N
N. Nayak
R.V. College of Engineering
R
Rujula Singh R
R.V. College of Engineering