A Theoretical Approach to Stablecoin Design via Price Windows

πŸ“… 2026-02-17
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This study investigates whether collateralized stablecoins relying solely on fixed minting and redemption prices can simultaneously achieve short-term and long-term price stability. By constructing a model grounded in game theory and market equilibrium, the paper analyzes how arbitrageur behavior under a price band mechanism affects both the stablecoin’s market price and its reserve assets. The analysis reveals that, absent secondary stabilization mechanisms or non-volatile reserve backing, such a design inherently faces a fundamental trade-off: it cannot maintain both short-term peg adherence and long-term stability, inevitably leading either to reserve depletion or the transmission of volatility from the underlying collateral. The work further quantifies the intrinsic relationship between arbitrage activity and price fluctuations.

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πŸ“ Abstract
In this paper, we explore the short- and long-term stability of backed stablecoins offering constant mint and redeem prices to all agents. We refer to such designs as price window-based, since the mint and redeem prices constrain the stablecoin's market equilibrium. We show that, without secondary stabilization mechanisms, price window designs cannot achieve both short- and long-term stability unless they are backed by already-stable reserves. In particular, the mechanism faces a tradeoff: either risk eventual reserve depletion through persistent arbitrage by a speculator, or widen the distance between mint and redeem prices enough to disincentivize arbitrage. In the latter case, however, the market price of the stablecoin inherits the volatility of its backing asset, with fluctuations that can be proportional to the backing asset's own volatility.
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Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

stablecoin
price stability
reserve depletion
arbitrage
volatility
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price window
stablecoin design
reserve stability
arbitrage tradeoff
backed stablecoins
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