Reliability-Aware Ensemble Classification Under Class Imbalance: A Calibration Study on Liquid-Based Cervical Cytology

📅 2026-07-10
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses class imbalance and insufficient model reliability in the four-class classification of liquid-based cervical cytology (LBC) under the Bethesda system. For the first time, it separates training, calibration, and evaluation data, employing weighted random sampling to train lightweight models—including Swin-Tiny, TinyViT-5M, and DenseNet121—and combines them via soft voting ensemble, followed by temperature scaling calibration on an independent subset. Experimental results demonstrate that calibration substantially reduces expected calibration error, Brier score, and negative log-likelihood while maintaining stable discriminative performance. Classification of NILM and LSIL is perfectly accurate, with errors occurring only at the boundary between HSIL and SCC. The work highlights the critical role of calibration in enhancing reliability and finds that increasing ensemble size yields no significant additional benefit after calibration.
📝 Abstract
Cervical cytology classification models are typically evaluated on curated, class-balanced benchmarks, but real-world liquid-based cytology (LBC) collections are often small and class-imbalanced. This paper presents a class-imbalance-aware and calibration-aware ensemble classification study on the Mendeley LBC dataset, using its native four-class Bethesda taxonomy (NILM, LSIL, HSIL, SCC) rather than a collapsed binary formulation. Three lightweight architectures (Swin-Tiny, TinyViT-5M, DenseNet121) are trained directly on Mendeley LBC using weighted random sampling to counteract class imbalance, and compared against two soft-voting ensembles (Hybrid-2, Hybrid-3). Post-hoc temperature scaling is fit on a held-out calibration subset carved out of the training portion of each cross-validation fold, distinct from both the training data used to fit model weights and the evaluation fold used for final metrics, avoiding the optimistic calibration estimates that result when the same data is used for both purposes. Calibration substantially reduces expected calibration error, Brier score, and negative log-likelihood for every model and ensemble configuration tested, while discrimination metrics (accuracy, macro-F1, macro-AUROC) remain essentially unchanged. Ensemble size shows no consistent additional reliability benefit over the best individual model once all configurations are properly calibrated. Confusion matrices show that all classification errors, across every configuration, are confined to the boundary between high-grade lesions (HSIL) and carcinoma (SCC); no errors involve the negative (NILM) or low-grade (LSIL) categories. These results suggest that, for this dataset, calibration is the dominant lever for reliability, not ensemble size, though this conclusion should be read in light of the dataset's modest size.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

class imbalance
calibration
cervical cytology
ensemble classification
reliability
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

calibration
class imbalance
ensemble classification
liquid-based cytology
temperature scaling
N
Nisreen Albzour
School of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY 13902, USA
S
Sarah S. Lam
School of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY 13902, USA