🤖 AI Summary
Does EU low-carbon structural funding effectively reduce emissions? This study evaluates the impact of low-carbon expenditures under the European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) on greenhouse gas emissions (CO₂, CH₄, N₂O) using regional panel data from 2007–2020. Methodologically, it combines Hodrick–Prescott trend-cycle decomposition with multi-gas disaggregated regression analysis. Results show that low-carbon funding significantly reduces total emissions in developed and transition regions but exhibits no statistically significant effect in less-developed regions. Moreover, emission responses across the three gases differ markedly in both direction and magnitude, undermining the efficacy of uniform policy approaches. Crucially, the study identifies regional development level as a key moderating variable—demonstrating that environmental governance must be calibrated to regional developmental stages. This constitutes a novel theoretical and practical contribution to the evaluation of EU climate fiscal policy, advancing evidence-based, spatially differentiated climate finance design.
📝 Abstract
This paper investigates the effectiveness of the ``low-carbon economy'' expenditures from European Structural and Investment Funds in fostering reductions in greenhouse gas emissions within European regions, focusing on the 2007-2013 and 2014-2020 programme periods. By decomposing emissions time series into trend and cycle components and considering them within a panel data framework, our research highlights that the impacts of low-carbon economy expenditures vary, qualitatively and quantitatively, with the targeted regions' development level. We find significant emissions reductions in developed and transition regions yet less favourable outcomes in less developed areas. Further analysis into specific greenhouse gas emissions types (CO$_2$, CH$_4$, and N$_2$O) reveals inconsistent impacts, underscoring the complexity of achieving emissions reductions. Our findings emphasise the need for tailored environmental strategies that accommodate the economic disparities of regions in the European Union.