Are EU low-carbon structural funds efficient in reducing emissions?

📅 2024-08-03
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Does EU low-carbon structural funding effectively reduce emissions? This study evaluates the impact of low-carbon expenditures under the European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) on greenhouse gas emissions (CO₂, CH₄, N₂O) using regional panel data from 2007–2020. Methodologically, it combines Hodrick–Prescott trend-cycle decomposition with multi-gas disaggregated regression analysis. Results show that low-carbon funding significantly reduces total emissions in developed and transition regions but exhibits no statistically significant effect in less-developed regions. Moreover, emission responses across the three gases differ markedly in both direction and magnitude, undermining the efficacy of uniform policy approaches. Crucially, the study identifies regional development level as a key moderating variable—demonstrating that environmental governance must be calibrated to regional developmental stages. This constitutes a novel theoretical and practical contribution to the evaluation of EU climate fiscal policy, advancing evidence-based, spatially differentiated climate finance design.

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Machine Learning: Efficient ML / Green AIGame Theory and Economic Paradigms: Other Foundations of Game Theory & Economic ParadigmsData Mining & Knowledge Management: Mining of Spatial, Temporal or Spatio-Temporal Data

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Responsible Web: Sustainability and climate impact of web technologiesSystems and Infrastructure for Web, Mobile and WoT: Sustainability and carbon-aware systems for Web, mobile, and WoTWeb Mining and Content Analysis: Bridging structured and unstructured data
📝 Abstract
This paper investigates the effectiveness of the ``low-carbon economy'' expenditures from European Structural and Investment Funds in fostering reductions in greenhouse gas emissions within European regions, focusing on the 2007-2013 and 2014-2020 programme periods. By decomposing emissions time series into trend and cycle components and considering them within a panel data framework, our research highlights that the impacts of low-carbon economy expenditures vary, qualitatively and quantitatively, with the targeted regions' development level. We find significant emissions reductions in developed and transition regions yet less favourable outcomes in less developed areas. Further analysis into specific greenhouse gas emissions types (CO$_2$, CH$_4$, and N$_2$O) reveals inconsistent impacts, underscoring the complexity of achieving emissions reductions. Our findings emphasise the need for tailored environmental strategies that accommodate the economic disparities of regions in the European Union.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Assessing EU low-carbon funds' emission reduction efficiency
Evaluating heterogeneous regional impacts of climate investments
Identifying need for tailored regional emission strategies
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Trend and cycle decomposition of emissions indicators
Instrumental variable estimates for heterogeneous effects
Disaggregated analysis by gas type for consistency
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Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies | Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne | Paris School of Economics | CNRS-Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
Marco Dueñas
Marco Dueñas
Climate Finance Alpha and Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies
International TradeEconomic NetworksIndustrial DynamicsComplex Systems
A
Antoine Mandel
Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne – Paris School of Economics – CNRS-Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, Paris, France