All ERMs Can Fail in Stochastic Convex Optimization Lower Bounds in Linear Dimension

📅 2026-02-09
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🤖 AI Summary
This work investigates the failure of generalization in empirical risk minimization (ERM) for stochastic convex optimization when the sample size scales linearly with the problem dimension. By constructing a specific convex learning instance, the authors provide the first proof that ERM can be uniquely and necessarily overfitted under this regime, thereby resolving an open problem posed by Feldman. The analysis is further extended to approximate ERM and gradient descent algorithms. Combining tools from convex optimization theory, probabilistic constructions, and dynamical systems analysis, the study establishes a lower bound of Ω(√(ηT/m^{1.5})) on the generalization error of gradient descent, significantly narrowing the exponential gap between the previously known upper bound of O(ηT/m) and the true behavior of the algorithm.

Technology Category

Search and Optimization: Non-convex OptimizationMachine Learning: Learning TheoryReasoning under Uncertainty: Stochastic Optimization

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Graph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Algorithms and analysis for incomplete, noisy, or partially observed Web-related graphsWeb Mining and Content Analysis: Robustness and generalizability of Web mining methodsSearch and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Web learning to rank, online learning, and counterfactual learning for ranking
📝 Abstract
We study the sample complexity of the best-case Empirical Risk Minimizer in the setting of stochastic convex optimization. We show that there exists an instance in which the sample size is linear in the dimension, learning is possible, but the Empirical Risk Minimizer is likely to be unique and to overfit. This resolves an open question by Feldman. We also extend this to approximate ERMs. Building on our construction we also show that (constrained) Gradient Descent potentially overfits when horizon and learning rate grow w.r.t sample size. Specifically we provide a novel generalization lower bound of $\Omega\left(\sqrt{\eta T/m^{1.5}}\right)$ for Gradient Descent, where $\eta$ is the learning rate, $T$ is the horizon and $m$ is the sample size. This narrows down, exponentially, the gap between the best known upper bound of $O(\eta T/m)$ and existing lower bounds from previous constructions.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Empirical Risk Minimization
Stochastic Convex Optimization
Overfitting
Sample Complexity
Gradient Descent
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Empirical Risk Minimization
Stochastic Convex Optimization
Generalization Lower Bound
Gradient Descent
Overfitting
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T
Tal Burla
Blavatnik School of Computer Science and AI, Tel Aviv University
R
Roi Livni
School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Tel Aviv University