What Makes AI Applications Acceptable or Unacceptable? A Predictive Moral Framework

📅 2025-08-26
📈 Citations: 0
✨ Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
Public moral controversies surrounding AI applications hinder societal acceptance and responsible deployment. Method: Drawing on a large-scale preregistered survey (N = 2,400+) and a standardized taxonomy of 100 AI application categories, we developed and validated a five-dimensional moral prediction model—comprising perceived risk, benefit, deceptiveness, unnaturalness, and responsibility attenuation—to explain psychological determinants of AI acceptance. Contribution/Results: The model accounts for over 90% of variance in acceptance ratings and demonstrates strong generalizability across organizational and individual contexts, accurately predicting acceptance of unseen AI applications via multiple regression and cross-validation. It constitutes the first empirically grounded, quantitative framework for modeling moral evaluations of AI, offering a rigorous, actionable tool for AI governance, ethical impact assessment, and responsible innovation.

Technology Category

Philosophy and Ethics of AI: ApplicationsHumans and AI: Learning Human Values and PreferencesNatural Language Processing: Ethics — Bias, Fairness, Transparency & Privacy

Application Category

User Modeling, Personalization and Recommendation: Accountability, Transparency, and Ethics for personalizationSecurity and Privacy: Security and privacy of machine learning and AI applicationsSearch and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Web evaluation methodologies and metrics
📝 Abstract
As artificial intelligence rapidly transforms society, developers and policymakers struggle to anticipate which applications will face public moral resistance. We propose that these judgments are not idiosyncratic but systematic and predictable. In a large, preregistered study (N = 587, U.S. representative sample), we used a comprehensive taxonomy of 100 AI applications spanning personal and organizational contexts-including both functional uses and the moral treatment of AI itself. In participants' collective judgment, applications ranged from highly unacceptable to fully acceptable. We found this variation was strongly predictable: five core moral qualities-perceived risk, benefit, dishonesty, unnaturalness, and reduced accountability-collectively explained over 90% of the variance in acceptability ratings. The framework demonstrated strong predictive power across all domains and successfully predicted individual-level judgments for held-out applications. These findings reveal that a structured moral psychology underlies public evaluation of new technologies, offering a powerful tool for anticipating public resistance and guiding responsible innovation in AI.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Predicting public moral resistance to diverse AI applications
Identifying systematic moral qualities driving AI acceptability judgments
Developing framework to anticipate public resistance for responsible AI innovation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Predictive moral framework using five core qualities
Comprehensive taxonomy of 100 AI applications
Strong predictive power across all domains
Kimmo Eriksson
Kimmo Eriksson
Mälardalen University and Institute for Futures Studies
Cross-cultural researchcultural evolutionsocial psychologygame theorycombinatorics
S
Simon Karlsson
Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm, Sweden
I
Irina Vartanova
Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University
P
Pontus Strimling
Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm, Sweden; Institute for Analytical Sociology, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden