Bayesian Estimation and Regularization Techniques in Categorical Data Analysis

📅 2025-09-02
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses estimation bias and hypothesis test failure arising from frequent zero counts in categorical data analysis. Methodologically: (1) it develops a robust Bayesian estimator for the binomial distribution; (2) it designs a regularized maximum likelihood–based hypothesis testing framework, covering sign tests, homogeneity tests, and symmetry tests; and (3) it introduces analytically tractable regularized measures of association for contingency tables—including regularized mutual information—that explicitly accommodate zero frequencies. The contributions are threefold: first, substantially improved stability and interpretability of probability estimation, hypothesis testing, and association assessment under data sparsity; second, provision of a theoretically rigorous yet computationally feasible foundational toolkit for high-dimensional sparse categorical data; and third, enhanced reliability of practical statistical inference in real-world applications involving sparse contingency structures.

Technology Category

Reasoning under Uncertainty: Relational Probabilistic ModelsMachine Learning: Bayesian LearningConstraint Satisfaction and Optimization: Distributed CSP/Optimization

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Graph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Algorithms and analysis for incomplete, noisy, or partially observed Web-related graphsWeb Mining and Content Analysis: Robustness and generalizability of Web mining methodsResponsible Web: Measurement, analysis, and circumvention of Web censorship
📝 Abstract
This paper explores Bayesian estimation for categorical data, focusing on simple yet effective models that provide a foundation for applying more advanced methods accurately and reliably in real-world applications. We begin by revisiting Bayesian estimators for the binomial distribution and investigating their properties. Next, we develop hypothesis tests for categorical data (sign test, homogeneity test, symmetry test) based on regularized maximum likelihood estimates of the probabilities. Finally, we formulate regularized versions of common association measures for contingency tables and study the regularized version of mutual information, particular for the situation where the regularized version can effectively handle zero counts.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Bayesian estimation for categorical data analysis
Regularized hypothesis tests for categorical data
Handling zero counts with regularized association measures
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Bayesian estimation for categorical data analysis
Regularized maximum likelihood hypothesis tests
Regularized association measures handling zero counts
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J
Jan Kalina
The Czech Academy of Sciences, Institute of Computer Science, Prague & Charles University, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Prague