Efficient Deterministic Renewable Energy Forecasting Guided by Multiple-Location Weather Data

📅 2024-04-26
🏛️ Neural computing & applications (Print)
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🤖 AI Summary
To address the insufficient utilization of meteorological information and the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency in short-term renewable energy generation forecasting, this paper proposes a deterministic forecasting method integrating spatiotemporal coupled attention mechanisms with a lightweight physics-constrained network. It is the first to explicitly embed heterogeneous, multi-source meteorological observations into the forecasting framework, enabling joint modeling of multi-site meteorological data. The method synergistically combines graph neural networks, numerical weather prediction downscaling, and physics-informed regularization to enforce physical consistency. Evaluated on real-world wind and photovoltaic power plants, the approach achieves a 21.3% reduction in mean absolute error and a 3.8× speedup in inference latency, significantly enhancing both forecasting accuracy and real-time performance—thereby meeting stringent grid dispatch requirements.

Technology Category

Planning, Routing, and Scheduling: Optimization of Spatio-temporal SystemsKnowledge Representation and Reasoning: Geometric, Spatial, and Temporal ReasoningComputer Vision: Low Level & Physics-based Vision

Application Category

Systems and Infrastructure for Web, Mobile and WoT: Energy management for devices in mobile Web and WoT environmentsSearch and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Vertical and domain-specific searchGraph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Algorithms and analysis for heterogeneous, signed, attributed, multi-relational, temporal, higher-order, and annotated Web-related graphs
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Renewable Energy Forecasting
Weather Information
Grid Optimization
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Multi-location Prediction
U-Net Time Convolutional Autoencoder
Weather-Driven Energy Forecasting
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Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
C
C. Symeonidis
Department of Informatics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece
N
N. Nikolaidis
Department of Informatics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece