Navigating Energy Doldrums: Modeling the Impact of Energy Price Volatility on HPC Cost of Ownership

📅 2025-09-09
📈 Citations: 0
✨ Influential: 0
📄 PDF
🤖 AI Summary
Rising energy price volatility significantly increases the total cost of ownership (TCO) of high-performance computing (HPC) systems. Method: This paper proposes an energy budget management framework that integrates variable-capacity scheduling with a refined TCO model—specifically, the first to embed dynamic compute capacity adjustment into an HPC TCO model, enabling quantitative economic trade-off analysis among hardware utilization, energy-saving benefits, and idle-resource risk under time-varying electricity pricing. The approach leverages a parametric cost model calibrated with real operational data from a university-scale HPC cluster. Contribution/Results: Empirical simulation demonstrates that dynamic response to time-of-use electricity tariffs reduces energy expenditure by up to 18.7%; however, imposing a minimum load threshold is essential to mitigate resource idleness. The framework provides a practical, decision-support tool for jointly optimizing energy efficiency and economic performance in green-energy–integrated HPC infrastructures.

Technology Category

Machine Learning: Hardware-aware MLPlanning, Routing, and Scheduling: Optimization of Spatio-temporal SystemsData Mining & Knowledge Management: Scalability, Parallel & Distributed Systems

Application Category

Economics, Online Markets and Human Computation: Cost models of using LLMs in production systemsSystems and Infrastructure for Web, Mobile and WoT: Energy management for devices in mobile Web and WoT environmentsGraph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Efficient manipulation of static and dynamic Web-related graphs
📝 Abstract
Energy costs are a major factor in the total cost of ownership (TCO) for high-performance computing (HPC) systems. The rise of intermittent green energy sources and reduced reliance on fossil fuels have introduced volatility into electricity markets, complicating energy budgeting. This paper explores variable capacity as a strategy for managing HPC energy costs - dynamically adjusting compute resources in response to fluctuating electricity prices. While this approach can lower energy expenses, it risks underutilizing costly hardware. To evaluate this trade-off, we present a simple model that helps operators estimate the TCO impact of variable capacity strategies using key system parameters. We apply this model to real data from a university HPC cluster and assess how different scenarios could affect the cost-effectiveness of this approach in the future.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Modeling energy price volatility impact on HPC ownership costs
Evaluating variable capacity strategy for managing energy expenses
Assessing trade-off between energy savings and hardware utilization
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Dynamic compute resource adjustment for energy cost
Model estimating TCO impact of variable capacity
Application to real university HPC cluster data
🔎 Similar Papers
P
Peter Arzt
Department of Computer Science, Technical University of Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany
F
Felix Wolf
Department of Computer Science, Technical University of Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany