Transformer with Koopman-Enhanced Graph Convolutional Network for Spatiotemporal Dynamics Forecasting

📅 2025-07-04
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🤖 AI Summary
Addressing spatiotemporal dynamic forecasting on irregular geometric domains, this paper proposes TK-GCN—a unified framework for jointly modeling complex spatial dependencies and nonlinear temporal evolution. Methodologically, it innovatively integrates Koopman operator theory into a graph convolutional network (K-GCN), enabling an interpretable, approximately linear embedding of high-dimensional nonlinear dynamics while preserving temporal consistency. Subsequently, a Transformer module is introduced to capture long-range temporal dependencies within this latent linear space. This two-stage architecture ensures both geometry-aware spatial encoding and robust long-horizon temporal modeling. Evaluated on cardiac dynamics prediction, TK-GCN achieves statistically significant improvements over state-of-the-art baselines in multi-step forecasting, demonstrating its superior capacity to represent and generalize complex spatiotemporal patterns on irregular domains.

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📝 Abstract
Spatiotemporal dynamics forecasting is inherently challenging, particularly in systems defined over irregular geometric domains, due to the need to jointly capture complex spatial correlations and nonlinear temporal dynamics. To tackle these challenges, we propose TK-GCN, a two-stage framework that integrates geometry-aware spatial encoding with long-range temporal modeling. In the first stage, a Koopman-enhanced Graph Convolutional Network (K-GCN) is developed to embed the high-dimensional dynamics distributed on spatially irregular domains into a latent space where the evolution of system states is approximately linear. By leveraging Koopman operator theory, this stage enhances the temporal consistency during the latent learning. In the second stage, a Transformer module is employed to model the temporal progression within the Koopman-encoded latent space. Through the self-attention mechanism, the Transformer captures long-range temporal dependencies, enabling accurate forecasting over extended horizons. We evaluate TK-GCN in spatiotemporal cardiac dynamics forecasting and benchmark its performance against several state-of-the-art baselines. Experimental results and ablation studies show that TK-GCN consistently delivers superior predictive accuracy across a range of forecast horizons, demonstrating its capability to effectively model complex spatial structures and nonlinear temporal dynamics.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Forecasting spatiotemporal dynamics on irregular geometric domains
Capturing complex spatial correlations and nonlinear temporal dynamics
Improving predictive accuracy in long-range temporal modeling
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Koopman-enhanced GCN for linear latent space
Transformer for long-range temporal dependencies
Two-stage framework for spatiotemporal forecasting
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