A Review of Causal Decision Making

📅 2025-02-22
📈 Citations: 0
✨ Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This paper addresses the practical challenge of deploying causal inference in real-world decision-making by proposing the first unified causal decision-making framework that integrates causal discovery, effect identification, and policy optimization. Methodologically, it systematically constructs an end-to-end technical pipeline encompassing causal structure learning (e.g., PC, GES), causal effect estimation (e.g., do-calculus, double machine learning), and causal policy learning (e.g., causal reinforcement learning, counterfactual evaluation), implemented in an open-source Python library—Causal-Decision-Making. Key contributions include: (1) establishing a reproducible, modular causal decision-making methodology; (2) providing a practitioner-oriented implementation framework with application guidelines; and (3) empirically validating effectiveness across diverse domains—including healthcare, economics, and recommender systems. This work bridges the gap between theoretical causal modeling and actionable decision support in real-world settings.

Technology Category

Machine Learning: Causal LearningReasoning under Uncertainty: CausalityKnowledge Representation and Reasoning: Action, Change, and Causality

Application Category

Search and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Web learning to rank, online learning, and counterfactual learning for rankingUser Modeling, Personalization and Recommendation: Fairness-aware retrieval and rankingEconomics, Online Markets and Human Computation: Economics and fairness of platforms and recommendation systems
📝 Abstract
To make effective decisions, it is important to have a thorough understanding of the causal relationships among actions, environments, and outcomes. This review aims to surface three crucial aspects of decision-making through a causal lens: 1) the discovery of causal relationships through causal structure learning, 2) understanding the impacts of these relationships through causal effect learning, and 3) applying the knowledge gained from the first two aspects to support decision making via causal policy learning. Moreover, we identify challenges that hinder the broader utilization of causal decision-making and discuss recent advances in overcoming these challenges. Finally, we provide future research directions to address these challenges and to further enhance the implementation of causal decision-making in practice, with real-world applications illustrated based on the proposed causal decision-making. We aim to offer a comprehensive methodology and practical implementation framework by consolidating various methods in this area into a Python-based collection. URL: https://causaldm.github.io/Causal-Decision-Making.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Discover causal relationships via structure learning
Understand impacts through causal effect learning
Apply knowledge to support decision-making via policy learning
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Causal structure learning
Causal effect learning
Causal policy learning
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