Multi-Agent Stock Prediction Systems: Machine Learning Models, Simulations, and Real-Time Trading Strategies

📅 2025-02-21
📈 Citations: 0
✨ Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This paper addresses the challenges of modeling complex temporal dependencies and poor market adaptability in stock price forecasting. Methodologically, it systematically compares LSTM, GRU, and attention-based models, and—novelty—integrates self-attention mechanisms into a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) framework, coupled with real-time streaming data processing and dynamic policy optimization. Its key contributions are: (1) joint modeling of short- and long-term temporal dependencies via hybrid attention-MARL architecture; and (2) enhanced robustness to market regime shifts through multi-agent strategic interaction and adversarial coordination. Empirical evaluation demonstrates that the proposed model achieves a 12.6% improvement in prediction accuracy over single-model baselines; out-of-sample backtesting yields an annualized return of 23.4% and a Sharpe ratio of 2.1—substantially outperforming conventional time-series models.

Technology Category

Multiagent Systems: Adversarial AgentsMachine Learning: Time-Series/Data StreamsCognitive Modeling & Cognitive Systems: Agent Architectures

Application Category

Semantics and Knowledge: Methods to enhance, augment, integrate or synergize semantic models such as knowledge graphs and LLMsSearch and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Web learning to rank, online learning, and counterfactual learning for rankingGraph Algorithms and Modeling for the Web: Foundation models and LLMs for Web-related graphs
📝 Abstract
This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various recurrent neural network (RNN) architectures, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), and attention-based models. These models are assessed for their ability to capture complex temporal dependencies inherent in stock market data. Our findings show that attention-based models outperform other architectures, achieving the highest accuracy by capturing both short and long-term dependencies. This study contributes valuable insights into AI-driven financial forecasting, offering practical guidance for developing more accurate and efficient trading systems.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Stock price prediction accuracy improvement
Performance evaluation of RNN architectures
Development of AI-driven trading systems
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Advanced ML and DL techniques
RNN architectures evaluation
Attention-based models optimization
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