Hybrid Adaptive Kalman Filtering for Data-Efficient Joint Tracking and Classification

2026-06-01

AI Summary

This work addresses the sensitivity of conventional Kalman filters to model mismatch and inaccurate noise covariance specifications, as well as the limitations of existing learning-based approaches that require extensive labeled data and struggle to deliver consistent uncertainty estimates. The authors propose a self-supervised hybrid adaptive Kalman filter that leverages only observational data to online-learn structured corrections to both system dynamics and process noise covariances, while preserving the probabilistic framework of the filter to enable joint state estimation and model classification. This approach is the first to achieve adaptive Kalman filtering with statistically consistent uncertainty quantification without requiring labeled data, and it employs generalized Bayesian inference for data-efficient classification. Experiments demonstrate substantial improvements in estimation accuracy on both real-world and simulated datasets, along with robust classification performance across both small-sample and large-data regimes.

Abstract

Kalman filtering performance is highly sensitive to model mismatch and noise covariance tuning. Learning-based approaches address these limitations but typically rely on supervised training with large datasets and do not produce consistent uncertainty estimates. In this paper, we propose a self-supervised Hybrid Adaptive Kalman Filter that learns structured corrections to system dynamics and process noise covariance from measurements alone while preserving the probabilistic structure of the filter. This allows the innovation likelihood to be computed and subsequently used for model classification via generalized Bayesian inference. Experimental results on real-world and simulated datasets demonstrate improved estimation accuracy and statistical consistency as well as robust classification performance across both low-data and large-data scenarios.

Problem

• Kalman filtering
• model mismatch
• noise covariance
• uncertainty estimation
• data efficiency

Innovation

• Hybrid Adaptive Kalman Filter
• self-supervised learning
• structured correction
• generalized Bayesian inference
• data-efficient joint tracking and classification