Projection Diagnostics for Directional Asymmetry and Tail-Ratio Departure in Multivariate Data

📅 2026-06-02
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the challenge of distinguishing directional asymmetry from tail-ratio deviations in multivariate distributions by proposing a quantile-based projection diagnostic framework that avoids reliance on higher-order moments. The method integrates directional skewness and tail-ratio measures through one-dimensional projections, sparse rank-one computations, and directional search to robustly classify heavy-tailed multivariate distributions into four categories: symmetric baseline tails, symmetric tail deviations, skewed baseline tails, and skewed tail deviations. Theoretical analysis establishes population-level properties, finite-sample uniform bounds, and classifier consistency, while revealing the complementary roles of coordinate and random directions in high dimensions, thereby offering a reliable foundation for multivariate modeling choices.
📝 Abstract
We study projection-based diagnostics for distinguishing directional asymmetry from tail-ratio departure in multivariate data. The procedure reduces the problem to one-dimensional projections and computes two quantile-based summaries: a directional skewness measure evaluated over several quantile levels, and an interquantile tail-ratio evaluated relative to a chosen benchmark. The two summaries lead to a four-regime classification: symmetric benchmark-tail, symmetric tail-departed, skewed benchmark-tail, and skewed tail-departed. The quantile formulation avoids relying on third and fourth moments, which can be unstable in heavy-tailed settings. We establish population properties under central symmetry and ellipticity, uniform finite-sample bounds over the searched directions, and consistency of the threshold classifier under separated regimes. A sparse rank-one calculation is also used to show why coordinate directions can complement random directions in high dimensions. The resulting diagnostic is meant to guide subsequent modelling choices, for example whether a symmetric, skewed, tail-departed, or combined multivariate model is appropriate.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

directional asymmetry
tail-ratio departure
multivariate data
quantile-based diagnostics
central symmetry
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

projection diagnostics
directional asymmetry
tail-ratio departure
quantile-based summary
sparse rank-one
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