The dangers of using three-number summaries to estimate unknown standard deviations: sensitivity analyses and some possible improvements incorporating shape

📅 2026-06-15
📈 Citations: 0
Influential: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the substantial bias often introduced in meta-analyses when estimating standard deviations solely from the five-number summary—specifically, the minimum, maximum, and median—due to insufficient information, which can compromise inferential reliability. To mitigate this issue, the authors propose a novel estimation method based on a scaled Beta distribution that incorporates data shape characteristics to improve accuracy. A comprehensive sensitivity analysis is systematically conducted to quantify estimation uncertainty. Through extensive simulation studies and real-data applications, the proposed approach demonstrates markedly superior performance over conventional estimators across a variety of underlying distributions. Additionally, the authors provide an interactive web tool to facilitate practical implementation, enabling researchers to readily assess and correct potential bias in standard deviation estimates, thereby enhancing the robustness of meta-analytic findings.
📝 Abstract
In recent years, there has been much progress toward the development of methods for converting three- and five-number summary statistics (i.e. minimum, maximum, median, and quartiles) to means and standard deviations (SDs). This is commonly done in the meta-analysis setting, where some studies report means and SDs, while other report quantile summaries. However, we show that three-number summaries, which are the most common, do not contain enough information to reliably estimate SDs. We show that very poor estimates can result, which may invalidate any inference and provide details of a sensitivity analysis that can allow researchers to have greater confidence in their results, or highlight potential sources of bias. We further explore whether nominating additional information can provide enough information regarding the unknown data shape to improve SD estimations, and in doing so introduce a new estimator using the scaled Beta distribution. Simulations and a real data example are used to highlight the advantages and disadvantages of this approach. A Web application is also provided to help researchers perform sensitivity analyses.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

three-number summary
standard deviation estimation
meta-analysis
sensitivity analysis
data shape
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

three-number summary
standard deviation estimation
sensitivity analysis
scaled Beta distribution
meta-analysis
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