Testing for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs

📅 2026-09-23
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🤖 AI Summary
本文提出了一种非参数测试方法,用于检测回归断点设计中未观察到的处理效应异质性问题。
📝 Abstract
We propose a nonparametric test for unobserved treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs. Under the null of no unobserved heterogeneity, a transformed outcome that imputes treated potential outcomes for untreated units must have a continuous conditional distribution at the cutoff. We convert this implication into an integrated conditional-moment restriction using characteristic functions, thereby allowing the conditional local average treatment effect to be an unrestricted function of covariates. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics via a $U$-process and establish the validity of a multiplier bootstrap procedure for calculating critical values. Monte Carlo experiments show well-controlled size and increasing power. Two empirical applications illustrate how the test distinguishes between heterogeneity explained by observables and that explained by unobserved factors.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Regression Discontinuity Designs
Treatment Effect Heterogeneity
Nonparametric Test
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

nonparametric test
regression discontinuity designs
unobserved treatment effect heterogeneity
characteristic functions
multiplier bootstrap
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Xiaojun Song
Xiaojun Song
Associate Professor of Business Statistics and Econometrics, Peking University
Non/semiparametric methodsHypothesis testingBootstrap
H
Haojiao Zhao
Department of Business Statistics and Econometrics, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University