Estimation of MIDAS Regressions with Errors-in-the-Variables

📅 2026-04-25
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the inconsistency of conventional estimators in mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regression when both high- and low-frequency variables are subject to measurement error. To resolve this issue, the paper introduces the corrected score method into the MIDAS framework for the first time and combines it with profile likelihood to construct a consistent estimator. This approach effectively overcomes the inconsistency that plagues existing profile likelihood estimators under measurement error. Through comprehensive Monte Carlo simulations, the authors systematically investigate the impacts of sample size, lag order, and nuisance parameters on estimation performance. The results demonstrate that the proposed estimator exhibits strong consistency and favorable finite-sample properties across a range of sample sizes and model specifications.

Technology Category

Search and Optimization: Mixed Discrete/Continuous SearchIntelligent Robots: State EstimationMachine Learning: Calibration & Uncertainty Quantification

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Security and Privacy: Large-scale security measurementsWeb Mining and Content Analysis: Web measurementsSearch and Retrieval-Augmented AI: Web evaluation methodologies and metrics
📝 Abstract
In this paper, a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) model is studied when both low and high frequency variables are contaminated with measurement error. It is shown that the profile likelihood estimator becomes inconsistent in the presence of measurement error. Using the corrected score approach along with profile likelihood approach, a consistent estimator for parameters of MIDAS Measurement Error model is proposed. Small and large sample properties of the estimator are examined by performing a monte carlo simulation study and considering the effect of sample size, number of lags and profiling parameter.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

MIDAS
measurement error
errors-in-variables
profile likelihood
consistent estimation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

MIDAS
measurement error
corrected score
profile likelihood
consistent estimation
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S
Sukhbir Kaur
Department of Statistics, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India (160014)
S
Sukhbir Singh
Department of Statistics and Information Management, Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India (400001)
K
Kanchan Jain
Department of Statistics, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India (160014)
P
Pooja Soni
University Business School, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India (160014)