Single World Intervention Graphs as Distributions: A Framework for Causal Identification

📅 2026-05-16
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the identifiability of interventional effects under complex causal structures. It proposes a unified identification framework by directly interpreting single-world intervention graphs (SWIGs) as joint representations of observational and interventional distributions, thereby transcending their conventional role as mere bridges to potential outcomes. Integrating SWIGs with do-calculus and structured probabilistic modeling, the approach not only recovers classical results such as backdoor adjustment but also substantially extends the applicability of front-door criteria to more intricate scenarios. This advancement provides a more scalable theoretical foundation for identifying causal effects under general intervention structures.
📝 Abstract
Causal inference seeks to estimate the effect of an intervention on an outcome using observed data, typically via Rubin's potential-outcome framework or Pearl's do-calculus. Following section 9 of Richardson and Robins (2013), this essay treats single-world intervention graphs (SWIGs) as representations of both the observed-data distribution and the interventional distribution, rather than as a bridge to potential outcomes. We demonstrate that this perspective provides a systematic way to derive identifying expressions for estimands defined by interventions on selected variables. Back-door derivations mirror those in existing literature, while front-door derivations offer a distinct pathway that extends more readily to complex settings. Conceptually, the method is simultaneously related to and distinct from Rubin's framework and Pearl's calculus.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

causal inference
intervention
causal identification
single-world intervention graphs
do-calculus
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Single World Intervention Graphs
causal identification
interventional distribution
front-door adjustment
do-calculus
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