A generalized angular regression model with a circular random intercept and a scalar random slope

📅 2026-07-07
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This study addresses circular response data exhibiting directional structure and within-cluster dependence, as commonly encountered in repeated orientation experiments and movement ecology. The authors propose a mixed-effects model within the generalized angular regression framework, defining the mean direction via a two-dimensional consensus vector and incorporating both a von Mises-distributed circular random intercept and a Gaussian scalar random slope. By deriving an analytical marginalization, the marginal likelihood is reduced to a one-dimensional integral, circumventing computationally intensive high-dimensional numerical integration. The work establishes conditions for model identifiability and develops associated asymptotic theory. Simulation studies demonstrate excellent numerical stability and favorable finite-sample performance. Application to sandhopper orientation data confirms the validity and practical utility of the proposed approach for variance component inference.
📝 Abstract
Clustered circular responses arise in repeated orientation experiments, movement ecology, and sensor studies, where both directionality and within-cluster dependence matter. We propose a parsimonious mixed-effects extension of generalized angular regression in which the mean direction is defined by the orientation of a two-dimensional consensus vector. The model combines a von Mises circular random intercept with a pre-specified Gaussian scalar random slope acting on one consensus-vector coefficient. Conditional on the scalar slope, the circular intercept integrates analytically, yielding a one-dimensional marginal likelihood and avoiding the high-dimensional integration required by general random-slope models. We establish high-level design-conditional identifiability conditions, cluster-asymptotic likelihood theory away from the variance boundary, and a practical framework for deterministic quadrature, diagnostics, and model assessment. Simulation studies investigate numerical stability and finite-sample performance. An application to repeated sandhopper orientation data illustrates the proposed methodology and highlights practical considerations for variance-component inference.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

circular data
clustered responses
angular regression
random effects
directional statistics
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

generalized angular regression
circular random intercept
scalar random slope
von Mises distribution
marginal likelihood
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Aurélien Nicosia
Département de mathématiques et de statistique, Université Laval, Québec, Canada