Learning Hamiltonian Dynamics with Bayesian Data Assimilation

📅 2025-01-31
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🤖 AI Summary
To address long-term trajectory prediction for unknown Hamiltonian systems, this paper proposes a neural surrogate modeling framework that jointly incorporates physical conservation laws and data adaptability. Methodologically, we introduce an autoregressive Hamiltonian neural network that jointly models generalized coordinates and conjugate momenta; crucially, we integrate variational Bayesian filtering with online data assimilation into the autoregressive training pipeline, enabling real-time error correction under strict energy conservation constraints. Our key contribution lies in unifying physics-informed priors—specifically, the intrinsic Hamiltonian structure—with Bayesian uncertainty quantification, thereby achieving both long-term numerical stability and rapid adaptation to observations. Evaluated on strongly perturbed elliptical orbits and multi-degree-of-freedom spring-mass systems, our method reduces energy error by over one order of magnitude and significantly outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in long-horizon prediction accuracy and robustness.

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📝 Abstract
In this paper, we develop a neural network-based approach for time-series prediction in unknown Hamiltonian dynamical systems. Our approach leverages a surrogate model and learns the system dynamics using generalized coordinates (positions) and their conjugate momenta while preserving a constant Hamiltonian. To further enhance long-term prediction accuracy, we introduce an Autoregressive Hamiltonian Neural Network, which incorporates autoregressive prediction errors into the training objective. Additionally, we employ Bayesian data assimilation to refine predictions in real-time using online measurement data. Numerical experiments on a spring-mass system and highly elliptic orbits under gravitational perturbations demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, highlighting its potential for accurate and robust long-term predictions.
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Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Complex Physical Systems
Hamiltonian Rule
Motion Prediction
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Bayesian data fusion
Hamiltonian rule
Neural network design
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