How corner is a corner case? Percentile control for highway scenario generation

📅 2026-10-04
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the lack of precise extremity control and the difficulty in quantifying "corner-case" severity in autonomous driving scenario generation. By defining scene risk as a percentile within a conditional distribution, it introduces a history-conditioned risk percentile request mechanism that unifies context-relative risk specification, physical realization, and evaluation criteria. Methodologically, a reference risk distribution is constructed to map physical objectives, while a percentile-conditional joint diffusion model combined with risk guidance at sampling time enables calibratable extreme multi-agent trajectory generation. Evaluated on the highD dataset, 98.75% of risk requests are satisfied within a 0.05 tolerance, achieving an average error of merely 0.00673.
📝 Abstract
Generating corner-case scenarios with appropriate adversity in a simulation environment is critical for testing an autonomous vehicle (AV) software stack's safety performance before deployment. Existing autonomous-driving scenario generators can enforce specific behavior, adversity, or feasibility conditions, but they provide limited control over how extreme a generated scenario is relative to plausible futures in the same traffic context. This study represents the adversity of a generated scenario as its percentile in the conditional distribution of future risk given the observed history. This view supports calibrated answers to two questions: how"corner"a generated corner-case scenario is and how its"cornerness"can be fine-tuned. To this end, we formulate history-conditioned risk-percentile requests and learn a reference risk distribution that maps each requested percentile to a physical risk target. We then use a percentile-conditioned joint diffusion model with sampling-time risk guidance to generate multi-agent futures, together with a reference-based criterion for evaluating percentile realization. Experiments use the minimum post-encroachment time (PET) between the ego and its surrounding vehicles as the risk surrogate on highD. On the primary evaluation set, our method realizes 1,422 of 1,440 requests within a 0.05 percentile tolerance (98.75%), with mean percentile error 0.00673 and PET-target error 0.00991 seconds. The resulting interface connects context-relative risk specification, physical realization, and evaluation through a common risk scale. Project website and videos of generated scenarios are available at https://hhj233.github.io/CornerPercentile/.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

corner case
scenario generation
autonomous driving
risk percentile
adversity control
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

corner-case generation
percentile control
conditional diffusion model
risk-guided sampling
autonomous driving simulation
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