In Search of the Most Balanced Sampling Design

📅 2026-07-29
📈 Citations: 0
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🤖 AI Summary
This study addresses the combinatorial optimization problem of identifying a balanced sampling design from a large population under a fixed inclusion probability, such that the weighted estimator of an auxiliary variable closely approximates the known population total—a task of exponential complexity. To tackle this challenge, the authors propose a heuristic approach based on genetic algorithms, which iteratively refines the sampling scheme by integrating minimum support designs with candidate samples exhibiting high balance. This method overcomes the limitations of the traditional cube method in achieving balance and substantially enhances sample balance. Consequently, it offers an efficient and practical approximate optimization pathway for large-scale survey sampling and experimental design.
📝 Abstract
Balanced sampling aims to select random samples in which the estimated totals of the auxiliary variables, weighted by the inverse of the inclusion probabilities, correspond as closely as possible to the known population totals. While several methods, such as rejective sampling, rerandomization, and the cube method, have been proposed to improve balance, identifying the most balanced sampling design under fixed inclusion probabilities remains a challenging combinatorial problem. This problem can be formulated as a linear program defined over the set of all possible samples, but the number of samples grows exponentially with population size, making exact optimization infeasible except for very small populations. To address this issue, we propose a heuristic approach based on a genetic algorithm that iteratively improves the balance of sampling designs by combining minimum support designs with highly balanced candidate samples. Although optimality cannot be guaranteed, the proposed method can substantially improve balance relative to standard procedures such as the cube method. The approach is applicable to both survey sampling and experimental design.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

balanced sampling
combinatorial optimization
inclusion probabilities
auxiliary variables
sampling design
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

balanced sampling
genetic algorithm
minimum support design
survey sampling
combinatorial optimization
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Caren Hasler
Department of Psychology, Psychological Methods, Evaluation and Statistics, University of Zurich, Switzerland
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Yves Tillé
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