A Unified Uncertainty Representation for Graph Neural Networks via Doubly-Spectral Stochastic Expansion

📅 2026-09-28
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This study addresses the limitation of existing graph neural networks (GNNs) that require separate models for calibration, out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, and robustness tasks. To this end, we propose DSS-GNN, a unified framework that leverages dual spectral stochastic expansion—integrating graph Fourier filtering with orthogonal polynomial chaos expansion—to characterize uncertainty comprehensively. Coupled with energy-based scoring, this approach enables a single model to jointly perform prediction, calibration, and OOD detection within a hybrid deployment setting. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DSS-GNN achieves the lowest Brier scores across 14 benchmarks and attains state-of-the-art shifted accuracy on 7 GOOD benchmarks. These results confirm that the proposed framework effectively resolves the multi-model fragmentation problem in GNN uncertainty quantification, offering a cohesive and highly performant solution for reliable graph representation learning.
📝 Abstract
Reliable deployment of graph neural networks requires calibration, out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, and robustness to distribution shift, yet existing methods address these needs with separate models and objectives. We model uncertain node embeddings as random graph signals: graph Fourier filters capture structural variation, and a scalar orthogonal-polynomial chaos coordinate captures latent stochastic variation. The resulting doubly-spectral stochastic (DSS) expansion supplies task-matched readouts from one representation: the mean coefficient encodes class evidence for the energy-based OOD score, the higher-order coefficients encode structured logit variation, and quadrature averaging over the chaos coordinate defines the single predictive distribution used for prediction and calibration. A capacity theorem shows that, under a full-rank feature assumption, a restricted subfamily matches the chaos coefficients of any Gaussian-latent random graph signal, with exponentially decaying truncation error under a growth condition; the task-level claims are established empirically. DSS-GNN has two deployment modes: standalone, or as a residual branch beside a deterministic encoder (DSS-Hybrid). Standalone DSS-GNN achieves the lowest Brier score among the compared uncertainty-aware baselines on all 14 node classification benchmarks without post-hoc correction; DSS-Hybrid achieves the best AUROC on most node-OOD settings, competitive cross-graph OOD detection, and the strongest shifted accuracy on all 7 GOOD concept-shift benchmarks under standard empirical risk minimization (ERM). Cross-evaluating both modes on all three tasks shows that each remains effective on the other's tasks, with documented exceptions, and yields explicit deployment guidance.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Graph Neural Networks
Uncertainty Representation
Out-of-Distribution Detection
Calibration
Distribution Shift
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Graph Neural Networks
Uncertainty Representation
Doubly-Spectral Stochastic Expansion
Polynomial Chaos
Out-of-Distribution Detection
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