Robustness of Local Energy Markets to Cyberattacks: Case Study of False Data Injection

📅 2026-09-29
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This study addresses the vulnerability of prediction-reliant community energy markets to coordinated false data injection (FDI) attacks by proposing a bilevel optimization framework to identify worst-case bus-level attacks. The upper level maximizes physical impact, while the lower level re-clears the interconnected market. By formulating a trade-off model balancing physical consequences against detectability, this work reveals that system vulnerability depends on the spatiotemporal distribution of tampered data rather than uniform diffusion. Leveraging Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions, the framework is reformulated as a single-level mixed-integer program and solved via the ε-constraint method. Validation on the IEEE 33-bus system demonstrates that bounded zero-sum attacks can reshape transactions, erode voltage security margins, and induce asymmetric market outcomes.
📝 Abstract
Market clearing in community-based local energy markets relies on power demand and PV forecasts, making it vulnerable to coordinated false data injection (FDI) attacks. This paper proposes a bilevel optimization framework to identify worst-case bus-level FDI against interconnected multi-community electricity markets within a distribution network. The upper level attacker maximizes physical impact, measured by cumulative voltage deviation, while accounting for detectability. The lower level re-clears the interconnected multi-community markets subject to operational and network constraints. The bilevel model is reformulated as a single-level mixed-integer program through Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions and solved using the epsilon constraint method to characterize the trade-off between physical impact and detectability. Case studies on the IEEE 33-bus system with three communities show that even bounded, system-level zero-sum attacks can reshape local trading, reduce voltage security margins, and produce asymmetric community-level market outcomes. The results further show that vulnerability depends strongly on the spatiotemporal placement of falsified data rather than on uniform spreading across buses and time periods.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Local Energy Markets
False Data Injection
Cyberattacks
Market Clearing
Voltage Security
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Bilevel optimization
False data injection
Local energy markets
Mixed-integer programming
Cyberattack robustness
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Mehran Moradi
Engineering and Physics Department, Karlstad University, Karlstad, Sweden
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Reza Zamani
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Phil Aupke
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Karlstad University, Karlstad, Sweden
Andreas Theocharis
Andreas Theocharis
Engineering and Physics Department, Karlstad University, Karlstad, Sweden
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Andreas Kassler
Karlstad University, Deggendorf Institute of Technology
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