Neural Calibration of a Complete Market Model

📅 2026-08-31
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🤖 AI Summary
本文提出一种神经校准方法,通过变形基准格构建无套利、完整的二叉树定价模型,用于期权定价和复制交易策略。
📝 Abstract
We propose a neural calibration method to construct a recombining binomial tree directly from a set of given option prices. Rather than estimating a continuous option pricing function or a local volatility surface as an intermediate object, a neural network is used to deform a benchmark lattice. This leads to a discrete pricing model which is guaranteed to be arbitrage-free, complete, easy to interpret, and can be used directly for pricing and to find replicating trading strategies. Calibration is formulated as a penalized optimization problem that combines a repricing error with an admissibility penalty, and an optional spatial regularization term based on implied local volatilities. Numerical experiments on synthetic and SPX market data show that the proposed approach yields accurate repricing and is very competitive when compared to recently proposed other neural calibration methods. It preserves the computational advantages of lattice-based valuation and hedging. In particular, the calibrated tree can be reused to price contracts that allow early exercise, and could even be calibrated directly with American option prices.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

neural calibration
option pricing
recombining binomial tree
arbitrage-free
Innovation

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neural calibration
recombining binomial tree
arbitrage-free
complete market model
replicating trading strategies
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Andrea Molent
Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Udine, Udine, Italy
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Michel Vellekoop
Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands