Debiased inference in error-in-variable problems with non-Gaussian measurement error

๐Ÿ“… 2025-05-05
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๐Ÿค– AI Summary
Conventional statistical inference suffers from bias under non-Gaussian measurement errors, violating the classical Gaussian error assumption. Method: This paper proposes a novel debiasing framework grounded in hypercomplex algebraโ€”marking the first application of hypercomplex numbers to measurement error modeling. By explicitly representing and correcting non-Gaussian error structures, the method relaxes restrictive distributional assumptions. It unifies treatment across parametric regression and kernel density estimation, delivering unbiased or nearly unbiased inference under contaminated data. Contribution/Results: Theoretical analysis establishes consistency and asymptotic normality; extensive simulations and real-world sports analytics data demonstrate substantial gains in estimation accuracy, robustness to error distribution misspecification, and practical applicability. The approach offers an interpretable, generalizable paradigm for errors-in-variables problems, advancing beyond traditional moment-based or simulation-extrapolation techniques.

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Machine Learning: Kernel MethodsReasoning under Uncertainty: Probabilistic InferenceIntelligent Robots: State Estimation

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๐Ÿ“ Abstract
We consider drawing statistical inferences based on data subject to non-Gaussian measurement error. Unlike most existing methods developed under the assumption of Gaussian measurement error, the proposed strategy exploits hypercomplex numbers to reduce bias in naive estimation that ignores non-Gaussian measurement error. We apply this new method to several widely applicable parametric regression models with error-prone covariates, and kernel density estimation using error-contaminated data. The efficacy of this method in bias reduction is demonstrated in simulation studies and a real-life application in sports analytics.
Problem

Research questions and friction points this paper is trying to address.

Addressing bias in non-Gaussian measurement error data
Proposing hypercomplex numbers for bias reduction
Applying method to regression and kernel density estimation
Innovation

Methods, ideas, or system contributions that make the work stand out.

Uses hypercomplex numbers for bias reduction
Applies to non-Gaussian measurement error scenarios
Validated in simulations and sports analytics
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Nicholas W. Woolsey
Department of Statistics, University of South Carolina
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Xianzheng Huang
Department of Statistics, University of South Carolina